ALP 20.7% vs ON
Incumbent MP
Glenn Butcher, since 2015.
Geography
Central Queensland. Gladstone covers the Gladstone urban area and surrounding rural areas in the Gladstone local government area.
History
The seat of Gladstone has existed since the 1992 election. The seat was held by an independent from 1995 until 2015 and has otherwise been won by Labor.
Neil Bennett won Gladstone for the ALP in 1992. Bennett defeated independent candidate Liz Cunningham, who ran in opposition to the downgrading of Gladstone Hospital.
Cunningham won on a second attempt in 1995. She supported a minority Coalition government from 1996 to 1998. She lost the balance of power when a second hung parliament was elected in 1998.
Cunningham was re-elected in 2001, 2004, 2006, 2009 and 2012. Cunningham retired in 2015, and Labor’s Glenn Butcher won the seat.
Butcher was re-elected in 2017.
Candidates
- Murray Peterson (Independent)
- Kevin Jorgensen (One Nation)
- Ron Harding (Liberal National)
- Glenn Butcher (Labor)
- Emma Eastaughffe (Greens)
Assessment
Gladstone is a safe Labor seat.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Glenn Butcher | Labor | 17,307 | 64.3 | +11.1 |
| Amy Lohse | One Nation | 5,497 | 20.4 | +20.4 |
| Chay Conaglen | Liberal National | 3,113 | 11.6 | -3.8 |
| Peta Baker | Greens | 998 | 3.7 | -0.3 |
| Informal | 929 | 3.3 |
2017 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Glenn Butcher | Labor | 19,028 | 70.7 | +7.7 |
| Amy Lohse | One Nation | 7,887 | 29.3 | +29.3 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Gladstone have been divided into four areas. Polling places in the Gladstone urban area were split into Gladstone Central and Gladstone South, with the rural hinterland split into east and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-candidate-preferred vote (against Labor) in all four areas, ranging from 52.7% in the west to 74.8% in Gladstone Central.
The LNP came third, with a primary vote ranging from 9.5% in Gladstone South to 13.2% in the east.
| Voter group | LNP prim | ALP 2CP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Gladstone South | 9.5 | 73.9 | 5,494 | 20.4 |
| East | 13.2 | 64.6 | 4,254 | 15.8 |
| Gladstone Central | 10.2 | 74.8 | 3,796 | 14.1 |
| West | 12.3 | 52.7 | 641 | 2.4 |
| Pre-poll | 11.6 | 72.0 | 10,590 | 39.3 |
| Other votes | 15.6 | 66.4 | 2,140 | 8.0 |
Election results in Gladstone at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-candidate-preferred votes (Labor vs One Nation) and LNP primary votes.
A seat where the Nationals didn’t even crack 10% with the advent of One Nation in ’98, no wonder the LNP didn’t contest this seat in 2009… that was for ‘strategic’ reason for supporting Liz… the official story of course. Under the LNP banner has seem them hover in the low-mid teens. One Nation is the main threat here, and it should be another ONP vs ALP battle. There’ll be a swing against ALP in the regions, but Gladstone seems to be one that will stay ALP and has been less affected by the fall in tourism industry. I see this seat similar to Maryborough and surprised the ONP wasn’t higher last time.
Prediction (August 2020): ALP Retain
Prediction: ALP Retain
Labor retain
The LNP get the silver medal here, for the first time since 1989 (when it was called Port Curtis).
Labor got 65% of the primary vote. Possibly the highest primary for anyone in Qld?